Historical Average Returns for Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ) - Trade That Swing (2024)

The Nasdaq 100 has a reputation for producing large returns over time, but with significant volatility. The Nasdaq 100 is considered a benchmark for technology stocks, as it includes the largest 100 non-financial stocks on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange. These companies are mainly involved in technology-related businesses.

The Nasdaq 100 index was launched in 1985. The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which tracks the Nasdaq 100 index, was launched in 1999.

In this article, you’ll see how the Nasdaq 100 has performed over the last 1, 3, 5, 10, 20, and 25 years.

Over the last 25 years, the Nasdaq 100 has outperformed the by a significant margin. Even including the historic “dot com” crash of from late 2000 to 2002.

Average returns can be deceiving because they hide the big up and down years that make up the average. Therefore, you’ll also learn what the biggest up and down years have been, in percentage terms.

Average Nasdaq 100 Returns Based on QQQ

Here are the annualized returns for the Nasdaq 100 index for the last 25, 20, 10, 5, 3, and 1 years. Statistics are based on the QQQ ETF which has a 0.2% yearly expense ratio, so the actual index returns will be slightly higher (but you can’t invest in the index without incurring fees, so these are the returns you would have actually received).

Years Averaged
(as of March 26, 2024)
Nasdaq 100 Annaulized
Return Per Year
(with dividends)
Nasdaq 100 Annualized
Return Per Year
(no dividends)
25 Years9.64%8.95%
20 years14.39%13.49%
10 years18.65%17.67%
5 years20.99%20.2%
3 years13.5%12.79%
1 year44.2%43.25%

Returns have been calculated based on TradingView charts.

Since 1985 (39 years) the Nasdaq 100 has produced an annualized return of 13.65% (not including dividends).

Here is a video that breaks down the statistics, including how to calculate them on your own.

Everyone should passively invest some funds. Set it and forget it for 10 years or more to compound your wealth.

ThePassive Stock Investing Using ETFs eBooklays out how to do it, including how to capitalize on the Nasdaq 100 returns.

Making 13% per year, which the Nasdaq 100 has conservatively averaged over the last 20 years, produces a $2.2 million nest egg if investing $10K and adding an additional $500 each month for 30 years. Invest $190,000 total, over 30 years, to make $2.2 million. That’s the power of compounding.

That’s passively investing, not trading, and just adding a bit more to the position each month. You can use the investment calculator on Investor.gov to test out different scenarios. Note that returns may be higher or lower in the future.

Historical Average Returns for Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ) - Trade That Swing (1)

The Biggest Up and Down Years for the Nasdaq 100

Many of the biggest up and down years occurred around the “tech bubble” of 2000, as well as the financial crisis of 2008 and the recovery. All figures include dividend payments and are based on the QQQ ETF unless otherwise specified.

Biggest Nasdaq 100 Index Down Years

2008: -41.7%
2002: -37.4%
2000: -36.1%
2001: -33.3%
2022: -32.6%

Biggest Nasdaq 100 Index Up Years

Dates and returns prior to 2000 are based on the Nasdaq 100 index (and thus don’t include dividends) and not QQQ.

1999: +102%
1998: +85.3%
1991: +65%
2009: +54.7%
2003: +49.7%
2020: +48.6%
1995: +42.5%
1996: +42.5%
2019: +39%
2013: +36.6%
2017: +32.7%
2023: +56.42%

Trades that last a few weeks to a few months more your style? The Complete Method Stock Swing Trading Courseshows you how to find explosive stocks that often rally 20% or more within a few weeks of entry.

Nasdaq 100 Returns by Year

The following are the Nasdaq 100 returns by year based on the QQQ ETF. Returns are calculated using the close of the prior year to the last day of the return year, including dividends.

2024: 10.1% (so far)
2023: 56.42
2022: -32.6%
2021: 27.4%
2020: 48.6%
2019: 39%
2018: -0.1%
2017: 32.7%

2016: 7.1%
2015: 9.5%
2014: 19.2%
2013: 36.6%
2012: 18.1%
2011: 3.4%
2010: 20%
2009: 54.7%

2008: -41.7%
2007: 19%
2006: 7.1%
2005: 1.6%
2004: 10.5%
2003: 49.7%
2002: -37.4%
2001: -33.3%
2000: -36.1%

Nasdaq 100 Historical Chart with Rally and Decline Percentages

The Nasdaq 100 index began in 1985. The following chart shows the journey the index has taken since, including rallies and declines of more than 30% (peak to trough) over that time.

The chart is based on monthly data points. If using a shorter time frame, such as daily, there are many more 30% drops and rallies, but this chart shows the overall moves and their ultimate percentages.

The chart is logarithmic.

Nasdaq 100 ETFs

The easiest way to invest in the Nasdaq 100 is to use an exchange traded fund (ETF). You buy and sell it like an individual stock, and the managers of the ETF make sure the fund tracks the index by buying the same stocks that are included in the Nasdaq 100.

Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) – a popular choice with huge daily volume and a 0.2% expense ratio per year.

Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQM) – created for people more interested in buy-and-hold as it has a lower expense ratio of 0.15%.

An expense ratio is the cost of managing the fund, or your cost of investing in it. So if the Nasdaq index returned 10% in a year, with a 0.2% expense ratio, your return as an investor would be 9.8%.

For Canadian investors looking to invest in the Nasdaq 100 via a Canadian ETF (that you buy in Canadian dollars), the Horizons Nasdaq-100 ETF (TSX: HXQ) is a solid choice. It provides direct exposure to both the Nasdaq 100 and the US dollar fluctuations vs the Canadian dollar.

The BMO Nasdaq 100 Equity Hedged to CAD Index ETF (TSX: ZQQ) hedges the US dollar exposure, so the return is more similar to the Nasdaq 100 since currency fluctuations have less effect on the overall return.

Any time you buy a foreign asset in a different currency, the return you get is not only how the asset performed but also how the currency value has fluctuated over that time. Hedging reduces the effect of this currency-movement variable.

Cory Mitchell, CMT

Disclaimer: Nothing in this article is personal investment advice, or advice to buy or sell anything. Trading is risky and can result in substantial losses, even more than deposited if using leverage.

Related

Historical Average Returns for Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ) - Trade That Swing (2024)

FAQs

Historical Average Returns for Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ) - Trade That Swing? ›

Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ): Historical Returns

In the last 30 Years, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) ETF obtained a 14.40% compound annual return, with a 24.00% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -81.08% that required 175 months to be recovered.

What is the historical return of QQQ? ›

Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ): Historical Returns

In the last 30 Years, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) ETF obtained a 14.40% compound annual return, with a 24.00% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -81.08% that required 175 months to be recovered.

What is the 10 years return for Nasdaq index? ›

The Nasdaq returned 264% over the last decade, compounding at 13.8% annually. Investors can get direct exposure to the index with the Fidelity Nasdaq Composite ETF (NASDAQ: ONEQ).

What is the 30 year average return on the Nasdaq? ›

Average Stock Market Return Over the Last 30 Years

The Nasdaq has an average annualized return of 10.4% for the past 30 years. On the other hand, the S&P 500 – an index that tracks 500 leading companies listed on U.S. stock exchanges – gained a cumulative 875% over the last 30 years.

What is the average return of the S&P 500 in the last 10 years? ›

The historical average yearly return of the S&P 500 is 12.58% over the last 10 years, as of the end of April 2024. This assumes dividends are reinvested. Adjusted for inflation, the 10-year average stock market return (including dividends) is 9.52%.

What is the 10 year average return on the QQQ? ›

18.68% 17.71

What is the average annual return of QQQ vs spy? ›

Average Return

In the past year, QQQ returned a total of 33.74%, which is significantly higher than SPY's 27.12% return. Over the past 10 years, QQQ has had annualized average returns of 18.85% , compared to 12.78% for SPY. These numbers are adjusted for stock splits and include dividends.

What is the long term return of Nasdaq 100? ›

fluctuated significantly throughout the period considered. The Nasdaq 100 index saw its lowest performance in 2008, with a return rate of -41.89 percent, while the largest returns were registered in 1999, at 101.95 percent. As of June 11, 2024, the rate of return of Nasdaq 100 Index stood at 14 percent.

What is the CAGR of Nasdaq 100 in 10 years? ›

Average returns
PeriodAverage annualised returnTotal return
Last year28.7%28.7%
Last 5 years22.4%175.2%
Last 10 years20.9%566.7%

What is the return of Nasdaq 100 index funds? ›

Returns (NAV as on 23rd May, 2024)
Period Invested for₹10000 Invested onAbsolute Returns
YTD29-Dec-2310.83%
1 Year23-May-2337.12%
2 Year23-May-2265.83%
Since Inception18-Oct-2134.75%
4 more rows

How much money do I need to invest to make $3,000 a month? ›

Imagine you wish to amass $3000 monthly from your investments, amounting to $36,000 annually. If you park your funds in a savings account offering a 2% annual interest rate, you'd need to inject roughly $1.8 million into the account.

What is the safest investment with the highest return? ›

These seven low-risk but potentially high-return investment options can get the job done:
  • Money market funds.
  • Dividend stocks.
  • Bank certificates of deposit.
  • Annuities.
  • Bond funds.
  • High-yield savings accounts.
  • 60/40 mix of stocks and bonds.
May 13, 2024

What is the average return of the S&P 500 last 100 years? ›

The average stock market return is about 10% per year for nearly the last century, as measured by the S&P 500 index.

What is the Dow Jones average return last 10 years? ›

Average returns
PeriodAverage annualised returnTotal return
Last year16.0%16.0%
Last 5 years10.6%65.6%
Last 10 years14.0%270.2%
Last 20 years10.0%569.5%

What are the 5 top performing US stocks for 2024 year to date? ›

Best S&P 500 stocks as of June 2024
Company and ticker symbolPerformance in 2024
Super Micro Computer (SMCI)176.0%
Vistra (VST)157.2%
Nvidia (NVDA)121.4%
Constellation Energy (CEG)86.0%
6 more rows

What is the average annual return of the spy? ›

Since it was expanded to include 500 stocks in 1957, the average annualized return in the S&P 500 is closer to 10.15%. That means the average annualized return in SPY is roughly 10%.

How much will QQQ be worth in 5 years? ›

According to the latest long-term forecast, Invesco QQQ price will hit $600 by the end of 2025 and then $700 by the middle of 2028. Invesco QQQ will rise to $800 within the year of 2029, $900 in 2030, $1000 in 2031, $1100 in 2033 and $1200 in 2035.

What is the annual return of VOO vs QQQ? ›

Average Return

In the past year, QQQ returned a total of 34.95%, which is significantly higher than VOO's 28.19% return. Over the past 10 years, QQQ has had annualized average returns of 18.75% , compared to 12.85% for VOO. These numbers are adjusted for stock splits and include dividends.

What is the historical return of the Nasdaq? ›

NASDAQ Composite - 45 Year Historical Chart
NASDAQ Composite - Historical Annual Data
YearAverage Closing PriceAnnual % Change
202114,371.4621.39%
202010,201.5143.64%
20197,940.3635.23%
50 more rows

What is the dividend return for QQQ? ›

QQQ Dividend Information

QQQ has a dividend yield of 0.56% and paid $2.64 per share in the past year. The dividend is paid every three months and the last ex-dividend date was Mar 18, 2024.

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